Qualified opportunities times win rate times average won value, divided by cycle length: revenue per day the pipeline produces. Each factor from snapshots and outcomes, not the CRM summary. When it moves, the decomposition says which factor did; usually cycle length.
More opportunities at a lower win rate is a different result from the same gain at the same rate.
Win rate from open probabilities and cycle from today's close dates are both wrong in the same direction.
Qualified opportunities multiplied by win rate and by average won value, divided by the sales cycle in days.
Eighty opportunities, a 25 percent win rate and $40,000 average value over a 90-day cycle gives about $8,900 a day.
Treated as a target. It is four numbers multiplied together, and the useful question is which of the four moved.