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Blog · Procurement and supply chain · Procurement

Savings claimed against savings realised: checking procurement's number against the invoice lines

How a procurement team, or the finance team checking it, measures whether a claimed saving reached the ledger: the baseline price per item before the sourcing event, the contracted price after, the invoiced price actually paid per line, the volume that moved to the contracted supplier, savings claimed against savings realised per category and per project, the leakage between the two by cause, and the identity that ties realised savings to the difference in what was paid.

The short answerA claimed saving is the baseline price less the contracted price, times expected volume. A realised saving is the baseline price less the invoiced price actually paid, times the volume actually bought, from the invoice lines. The two differ by leakage: volume that stayed with the old supplier, invoices above the contracted price, specification changes, and volume that fell. Per sourcing project and per category, claimed against realised with the leakage by cause is the number a CFO will accept, and the identity is that realised savings equal the difference in spend at baseline prices versus actual.

Procurement claims a twelve percent saving on a category after a sourcing event. Finance sees three percent in the ledger. Both numbers are honest and the difference is leakage that the invoice lines can explain by cause. This guide sets out the baseline, the claimed and realised figures, the four leakage causes, and the identity.

The measures

Per item, per sourcing project:

Baseline price = price paid per item in the stated period before the event, from invoices Contracted price, from the new agreement Claimed saving = (baseline − contracted) × expected volume Realised saving = Σ over invoice lines after the event of (baseline − invoiced price) × quantity

Leakage = claimed − realised, by cause.

The rows you need

  • Invoice lines: item, supplier, date, quantity, price, before and after the event.
  • Sourcing project: items, contracted supplier, contracted price, expected volume, event date.
  • Item master: item, specification version.

Supplier identifiers only.

The identity

realised saving = spend at baseline prices on actual volume − actual spend, for the items in scope

If the invoice lines' saving does not equal that difference, a line is priced at neither baseline nor contract and is listed.

The four leakage causes

Cause Test List
Volume stayed with the old supplier Lines after the event with the old supplier Sites and requesters buying off the new contract
Invoiced above contract Invoiced price > contracted price Lines with the variance
Specification changed Item's specification version changed after the event Items no longer comparable
Volume fell Actual quantity < expected Not a leak; a forecast miss, stated

A worked project

Category: packaging. Event: new contract, 1 March. Expected annual volume 1.2m units.

Line Value
Claimed saving $480,000: baseline $2.10, contracted $1.70, on 1.2m units
Realised saving, invoice lines to date, annualised $140,000
Leakage $340,000
Cause Value Detail
Old supplier still used $190,000 Two plants, 470,000 units at $2.08
Invoiced above contract $60,000 New supplier billing $1.82 on a third of lines
Specification changed $50,000 One item now a heavier grade at $1.95
Volume fell $40,000 1.05m units, not 1.2m

Three of the four are recoverable, with owners: the two plants, the supplier's billing, and the item change. The realised figure rises as each is worked, and finance watches it rise on the ledger.

Where it goes wrong

Baseline from a quote. Nothing to verify; the claim is a story.

Claimed reported to the board. Twelve percent that becomes three.

Leakage unexplained. Procurement and finance argue about a gap neither can see.

Volume miss counted as leakage. It is a forecast miss; say so.

Every month, realised against claimed

Mapped once, the invoice lines, the sourcing projects and the item master produce claimed, realised, the leakage by cause and the identity per project and category every month. Covirage builds this from the exports as they are. The procurement page describes the setup, and the maverick spend guide covers the largest leakage cause by requester.

Questions people ask

What is the baseline?

The price paid per item in the period before the sourcing event, from the invoice lines, stated per item and dated. Not the supplier's list price, not a quote. A baseline nobody can trace to invoices is a claim nobody can verify.

Why does finance care?

Because a savings programme reported at twelve percent that shows up as three in the ledger is a credibility problem for procurement and a budgeting problem for finance. The realised figure, with the leakage explained, is the one both can sign.

What are the leakage causes?

Four, from the joins: volume still bought from the old supplier, from the supplier on each line; lines invoiced above the contracted price, from the price comparison; items whose specification changed, from the item master; and volume below the claimed quantity, from the counts. Each is a list with a value and an owner.