Sign in

Blog · Coverage and territory

Churn vs dormancy: what is the difference, and why the dormant list comes first

Churn and dormancy are often used as the same word and measure different things. Churn is a customer who has ended: a cancelled contract, a closed account, a stated decision. Dormancy is a customer who has stopped ordering for longer than their own pattern predicts and has not yet been asked why. This page sets out the two definitions, the formula for each, which businesses have which, how dormancy turns into churn, and why the dormant list is the one that can still be acted on.

The short answerChurn is an ending; dormancy is a silence. A churned customer has cancelled, closed or not renewed, and the date is known. A dormant customer has simply stopped ordering for longer than their own cadence predicts, with no decision communicated. Contract businesses have both: dormancy shows as falling usage before the churn at renewal. Transactional businesses, distributors, merchants, trading desks, have only dormancy, because there is no contract to cancel, and what they call churn is dormancy that someone eventually wrote off. Dormancy comes first in time and is the recoverable state, so the dormant list, ranked by prior value, is the one to work.

Two words for customers who are not buying. One describes a decision; the other describes a silence before one.

The definitions, side by side

Churn Dormancy
What it is The relationship ended Ordering stopped beyond the customer's own norm
Event Cancellation, non-renewal, account closure None; inferred from dates
Date known Yes The last order date; the dormancy date is computed
Who has it Contract and subscription businesses Every business with repeat customers
Formula Customers or revenue lost ÷ customers or revenue at start Customers past their threshold ÷ customers active in the prior year
Threshold None needed A multiple of each customer's typical gap
Recoverable Rarely; it is a win-back Often; it is a call
Cadence of reporting Monthly or quarterly Weekly

The formulas

Churn rate = customers, or recurring revenue, lost in the period ÷ customers, or recurring revenue, at the start

Dormant if days since last order > k × the customer's typical gap between orders Dormancy rate = dormant customers ÷ customers active in the prior year, by count and by prior value

Churn needs an event. Dormancy needs only order dates, which every business has.

How one becomes the other

In a contract business the sequence is visible afterwards:

Month What the data shows State
−9 Active seats fall from 80 to 60 Usage dormancy beginning
−6 Support tickets stop Silence
−4 No reply to the quarterly review invitation Contact dormancy
−1 Procurement asks for the contract end date Too late
0 Non-renewal Churn

The churn is recorded in month zero. The dormancy was measurable nine months earlier. The renewal, retention and churn definitions cover the figures at the end of that sequence; the dormant list covers the start.

In a transactional business there is no month zero. A builder stops buying from a merchant and nothing is recorded anywhere. Twelve months later someone tidies the account list and the customer is marked inactive. What that business calls churn is dormancy plus an administrative decision, and its date is the date of the tidy-up.

Which to use where

Business Churn meaningful? Dormancy meaningful? Lead with
SaaS, subscriptions Yes Yes, as usage and contact dormancy Dormancy weekly; churn quarterly
Managed services, telecoms Yes, at contract end Yes, in usage and orders for adds Dormancy
Distribution, merchants, wholesale Only by a declared rule Yes Dormancy
Trading desks No Yes: clients gone quiet where the desk has not Dormancy
Professional firms No; clients rarely cancel Yes: no new matter in longer than the client's pattern Dormancy
Insurance broking Yes, at renewal Partly: contact dormancy before renewal Both

The dormant list

Customer Prior-year revenue Typical gap Threshold Days since last order Owner Last touch
A $410,000 7 days 18 41 R. 52 days ago
B $95,000 30 days 75 120 S. 9 days ago

A has missed five orders and nobody has spoken to them in seven weeks. That row is the whole argument for leading with dormancy. The dormancy worked example builds the list by hand, and the Excel guide builds it in a spreadsheet.

Where the two get confused

Dormancy reported as churn. Customers written off while they can still be called.

Churn reported with no dormancy view. The figure moves; nobody saw it coming; the explanation is written afterwards.

A fixed threshold. Ninety days, which lists annual buyers and misses weekly ones.

Count without value. Two hundred dormant accounts worth 1 percent of revenue, given the same alarm as twenty worth 15.

The short version

Churn is the outcome; dormancy is the warning. Every business can measure dormancy from order dates alone, per customer against the customer's own cadence, and most churn passed through it months before. For what the rate should be, see what is a good dormancy rate. Covirage produces the dormant list weekly from the order export, ranked by prior value, with the owner and the last touch beside each name.

Questions people ask

Can a business without contracts measure churn at all?

Only by declaring it. A distributor has no cancellation event, so churn is defined as dormant beyond some long threshold, such as four times the customer's typical gap, or twelve months. That is a useful reporting figure, but it is a rule applied to dormancy, not a separate event. State the rule beside the number.

Which one should the sales team be shown?

Dormancy, weekly, as a list with names, prior revenue, days past the customer's own threshold and the owner. Churn is a quarterly figure for the board. By the time a customer appears in churn, the conversation that could have kept them was months ago.

Is a dormant customer always at risk?

No. Some paused for a reason: a seasonal business, a project that ended, a site that closed. That is why the threshold is per customer and why the list is a prompt to ask, not a verdict. The share of dormant accounts that reactivate after a call is itself worth tracking.